Tag: news

  • our current voting system, plurality voting, is terrible

    plurality voting is where you pick your favorite among a list of people. usually, this just means the person who didn’t get majority support but is the largest minority, wins. often times the winner has low approval ratings for that reason. plurality voting also encourages the spoiler effect… in a country where three fourths of the country is one ideology, having multiple people in that category means the minority ideologies wins. also, plurality voting discourages third parties, because people dont want to be spoilers or parties keep people from participating. think how conservatives are keeping out the libertarian. think how hillary had low approval ratings but took the nomination anyway. think how Gore would have won twenty years ago, but Nadar spoiled his nomination. the examples are endless. it’s an undemocratic process. it insists that low approval rating candidates should win. 

    there are alternatives to plurality voting. approval rating voting. different types of rank voting. the large majority of other countries realize our voting process makes no sense, and have an alternative system. plurality is the wild west of voting, rationality be damned. 

    here is an article highlighting some of the ways plurality voting sucks. 

    Any academic will tell you that our choose-one voting method (plurality voting) is a terrible, terrible voting method. (There’s better.) In fact, plurality voting is so bad that it deserves its own top five list.

    Here it is.

    Number 5: It’s Inexpressive

    Plurality voting is among the least expressive voting methods there is. A plurality ballot puts a slate of candidates in front of you and forces you to choose only one. No more.

    Consider how strange that is. You likely have opinions about all those candidates. And yet, you only get a say about one. Different voting methods allow you to express yourself in all kinds of ways such as choosing as many as you want, ranking, and scoring. But plurality lets you do none of that.

    Not convinced? Imagine a way to offer less information than plurality voting allows while not handing over a blank ballot. Good luck!

    Number 4: The Spoiler Effect

    Anyone awake during the 2000 US presidential election is aware of the spoiler effect. In that election, we had a candidate that didn’t win (Nader) who divided another candidate’s support (Gore). Without Nader’s presence, Gore would have won; but with Nader present, Bush won. It makes no sense for a candidate to enter the race—and lose!—yet change the winner. But that’s the kind of nonsense plurality carries out.

    Plurality voting is extremely sensitive to the spoiler effect. The “spoiler” candidate only needs to take away a little support from a similar candidate to sway the election. This happens because plurality only lets you choose one candidate. Because you can only pick one, voters are forced to divide their support among similar candidates.

    The spoiler effect influences policy as well. It largely explains the US’ draconian ballot-access laws. Third parties and independents are often forced to quickly get many thousands—sometimes tens or hundreds of thousands—of signatures to get on the ballot. To make matters worse, major parties then challenge those signatures to try to kick them off the ballot. In Pennsylvania, presidential candidate Ralph Nader was forced to pay court costs just for defending his own signatures. This heinousness plays out on the local level, too.

    Why do major parties do this? Without a third or fourth candidate on the ballot, there’s no worry of a spoiler. Of course that also means voters don’t get options, but that’s not the major parties’ problem. So far major parties have preferred to stifle competition and democratic speech than address the real culprit: plurality voting.

    Number 3: Favorite Betrayal

    Plurality voting can bully you into voting against your favorite candidate. It does this by giving you a dilemma: (1) Support the candidate you really want, but risk having another candidate you don’t like win; or (2) Make a compromise by choosing among the frontrunners, but abandon your favorite.

    How good is a voting method that punishes you for supporting your honest favorite?

    Not being able to vote your favorite creates further issues. For instance, there’s less motivation to improve ballot access or get signatures for your candidate. After all, why work for better options if you can’t bring yourself to vote for them yourself?

    Number 2: Partisan winners

    When multiple candidates enter a plurality voting election—or advance through multi-candidate primaries—we tend to see more partisan winners. Why is that? There’s a phenomenon called the center-squeeze effect that works against moderate candidates appealing to the center. The effect looks like this:

    (Figure generated using the voting simulation tool created by Ka-Ping Yee.)

    The candidates in the middle have their vote divided and squeezed from either side while candidates on the ends pick up the support from either tail. If you had to pick a best candidate for this electorate, wouldn’t you pick the candidate right in the middle that appeas to the broadest range of voters?

    With all the talk about partisanship, you’d think there’d be more attention to this center-squeeze issue, but there isn’t. Instead we cross our fingers for “bipartisan agreement.” Of course, expecting bipartisan cooperation in such a partisan environment is a lot like a basketball player expecting a deliberate assist from the opposing team. Fat chance.

    Number 1: Barrier to Entry

    Barrier to entry doesn’t necessarily affect an election’s winner, but it does threaten political discourse, a crucial piece to a functional democracy. Plurality creates a barrier to entry by giving new candidates artificially low support—the consequence when voters fear to vote their favorites. This means that new candidates (including third parties and independents) don’t just lose. They lose big.

    Our plurality voting approach is also taken with polling. They call people at dinner time: “If the election were held today, which candidate would you vote for?”

    And that polling information is used in all kinds of ways, including who gets in debates. If candidates get too little support—which is what plurality does to newcomers—they don’t get in the debates. That means those candidates’ ideas don’t get heard.

    Media, too, consider plurality voting results when it comes to third parties and independents. Plurality’s paltry showing for third parties is the media’s excuse for why they don’t cover those candidates. Media’s reasoning to snub candidates goes something like this: “If their ideas were any good, they would have done better in the polls. They didn’t do well in the polls, so their ideas must not have been any good.” The assumption here, however, was that the poll—using plurality voting—was any good in the first place. But we know that plurality voting is no good at all.

    Unsurprisingly, third parties and independents rarely get anywhere. Plurality has so ingrained in us that we can’t have new ideas. It also tells us that even if a third party or independent gets on the ballot, we should dismiss them. Or maybe we should not even notice their presence.

    Plurality voting’s role means that we get stuck with two parties. And these two parties represent a narrow range of ideas. It’s little wonder why there’s seldom any real progress. Of course, that’s not to say there can’t be.

    it’s such a stupid system, that i distrust the motives of those who support it. maybe their favorite candidate has no chance otherwise? maybe they’re just ignorant of the vast number of alternative voting systems? who knows. 

  • why are gun murders in the usa wildly out of control compared to the rest of the world but not nongun murders? the science the guns are the problem and gun control is effective

    -You can tell this is a gun problem, not just a bad person problem as the gun lobby says, also by comparing non-gun homicides of similar countries as the USA, and then adding guns to the mix: non-gun homicides are slightly on the higher side but within normal range, while gun homicides go wildly higher. If this was a bad person problem at its core, there would be a wildly higher amount of non-gun homicides as well, but that’s not the case. Included is an article describing this phenomenon and a link with a graph 

    it’s possible that folks just use guns instead of other weopons to kill, such that non-gun murders are within the global normal range. but that’s not the most strightforlward interpretation. it goes against logic. non-gun murders should be wildly out of control, too, even if it’s not to the same extent as gun murders. 

    we have half the world’s guns and our murder rate is way out of control, particularly gun murders. this is pretty obvious what is happening.

    but it’s not just gun v non gun murders, there’s a ton of other persruavsive evidence that points to guns causing more murder than would otheriwise occur without so many guns.

    GUN CONTROL SCIENCE

    -where there is more gun control, there is less murder. this is the scientific consensus, as shown with the literature review. being a literature review makes this a lot more informing than just being a single study; we see the consensus forming. also included is a link to a poll of scientists but a literature review itself makes the claims even stronger.

    http://www.latimes.com/nation/la-oe-hemenway-guns-20150423-story.html

    -where there are more guns, there is more murder, across geographic regions from localities and larger. this is also a lot more informing because it a literature review of lots of studies. what’s more, people are shown not to kill with other weopons instead of guns, as is often argued, because if they did there would be no correlation here.

    -women are five times more likely to be killed if their significant other has a gun. this is a practical point in illustration of the guns v murders correlation. same in individual lives as general trends

    -you are more likely to be murdered if you have a gun, as well as those close to you

    -States with more gun control have fewer mass shootings

    -only around two hundred and fifty killings are done in the name of self defense per year. people like to pretend defense is such a huge thing, but the odds of being murdered is is closer to forty times higher. the odds of being shot and not necessarily killed are upwards of four hundred times higher. 
    -we have half the worlds guns in the usa but a small percent of the worlds population
    -Police are more likely to kill unjustifiably in low gun control and high gun areas due to their increased fear, and police are more likely to be shot themselves in those areas.

    http://justicenotjails.org/police-shootings-gun-problem/

    -Compared to 22 other high-income nations, the United States’ gun-related murder rate is 25 times higher. 

    -High school kids in the USA are eighty two times more likely to be shot than the same kids in other developed countries.

    -states with more gun control have fewer youth who die from guns
    https://abc30.com/5396718/?ex_cid=TA_KFSN_FB&utm_campaign=trueAnthem%3A+Trending+Content&utm_content=5d2d172f8e73cc000164c229&utm_medium=trueAnthem&utm_source=facebook&fbclid=IwAR2T40EdBsGdPZk_VCL8Bi5RDJsNtpF2Ud9NIYiB74njS72zrcqudw1idWY

    -it is claimed that most murders are gang related, but this looks to be factually incorrect in the link. even if higher numbers floating around on the internet are true, our murder problem still there if you take out the gang murders from consideration. the numbers here can be arrived at with basic math. 

    -this really isn’t just a mental health problem. we don’t have more people with mental health problems than other countries…. just more people with guns.  the study controls for mental health factors v other factors. 

    -we dont have more crime than the rest of the world, just a lot more people getting shot and killed. you aren’t more likely to be mugged here, for instance, but you are more likely to be mugged and shot in the process. again a gun problem. showing it’s not just deviants being deviants as some suggest but an emphasis on the gun problem.

    -You can tell this is a gun problem, not just a bad person problem as the gun lobby says, also by comparing non-gun homicides of similar countries as the USA, and then adding guns to the mix: non-gun homicides are slightly on the higher side but within normal range, while gun homicides go wildly higher. If this was a bad person problem at its core, there would be a wildly higher amount of non-gun homicides as well, but that’s not the case. Included is an article describing this phenomenon and a link with a picture. 

    -people like to say assault rifles are not that dangerous, because there are only a few hundred murders with them per year out of only around ten or so thousand of gun murders. the thing is though, the percent chance an assault rifle will be used to kill someone is significantly higher than the chance other guns will be used to kill someone. ///  you can do the math yourself. there are 2.5 million assault rifles in circulation. 374 rifle deaths per year. there are 11000 gun homicides. there’s a gun for every person in the usa, 340 million. what’s the math say? 374 divided by 11000 is 3.4 percent of deaths are from rifles. 2.5 milliion divided by 340 milliion is less than a percent. so what does this mean? despite rifles being less than a percent of guns, they cause 3.4 percent of deaths. that is, a rifle has a higher percent chance of being used to murder than a non rifle. most guns that are used in murder are hand guns, but assault rifles are more likely to be chosen over a hand gun when faced with that choice. just like, as an analogy, people are more likely to speed in a sports car, but most cars that speed are not sports cars.  

    -people like to throw around number of defensive gun use. the idea is that not all defensive gun uses result in a killing. the most common number in literature is tens of thousands, though the number vary wildly. the only thing is, even if you are more likely to use a gun in self defense than being murdered, you are still more likely to be murdered than someone who doesn’t have a gun. also, a lot of those thousands of defensive uses are not all that critical…. downplaying their significance. and, a lot of those ‘defensive’ uses were actually situations that were people instigating and escalating a situation that wouldn’t otherwise exist, as the link below illustrates. even if we used the higher numbers, is it all that convincing that there are tens of thousands more near murders in a nation with already a globally disproportionate number of murders? it holds true, that we could give lots more people guns, and that may increase defensive use… but it would come at the cost of more murder, too.

    -for more on giving an overview of the gun issues, see the following

    -in the usa, the number of murders has overall gone down in recent decades. the thing is, while the number of guns went up, the number of people owning them went down. also, this is just one measure: all the other measure include all the countries and localities where gun levels are proportionate to murder rates.
    -for more information on gun policy in the usa and other countries: www.gunpolicy.org

    -australia. they enacted major gun reform around twenty years ago after a mass shooting. they bought back a bunch of guns and enacted other gun control. their mass shootings stopped. this almost surely is not an anomloy. their homicides dropped by up to fifty percent. the idea is a lower murder rate came with a lower percent of people owning guns (note that this is different than the specific gun ownership rate because if less people own more guns that could cause the percent owning to go down but the overall rate could be the same). misinformation attempts like to point that overall murder went up slightly after reform, but the rate did not and went down. also, the number of guns have gone up closer to previous level but the gun ownership rate is still lower. it is true that global murder went down, and some of that correlates with australi’s rate… but global reductions arent as drastic s australia’s.

    -japan. they literally have barely any murders, and barely any guns. they have a rigorous process for allowing guns

  • people are more likely to murder when they have a gun and gun control tends to work in places with more gun control

    here’s a load of science that shows the consensus in science is against the gun nuts. 

    it’s consensus science that where there’s more guns, or more people have them, that there’s more murders than places that dont have guns.

    it’s consensus that where there’s more gun control, there’s less murder. 

    it’s basically. irrefutable that non-gun murders are in line with the rest of the world, but gun murders are wildly out of whack. if this was a bad person problem, not a gun problem, then non-gun murders would be out of whack too.  dont need scientific study for this though, this is such common sense, and it’s obvious that you are just regurgitating stupid gun nut talking points, that there is something obviously wrong with your critical thinking skills.  

    gun control won’t stop mass shootings, as people can just regular guns, or a few of them, and go on a rampage. but it might help some. if it’s too hard to get a gun (fewer guns, more restrictions), people are more likely to give up. that helps a little. 

    or, like sandy hook, if they dont have assault rifles, they won’t be able to shoot hundreds of spray shots with such ease in a few minutes. obviously, the benefit greatly outweighs the cost of confiscating assault rifles, given they’re almost never needed for self defense. 

    gun control is mostly about lessening the amount of times someone gets mad and happens to have a gun when they do, less about mass schooting. i saw two strangers kill each other in road rage before, which obviously wouldn’t have happened if they didn’t have guns. 

    if you tell someone they can’t have a gun, not everyone who is denied will run out and get one.  if they dont have a gun when they are mad, they are less likely to kill someone than if they had a knife or other weapon. it might be possible to 3d print guns, but not everyone who is denied a gun is willing to go to that level of desperation. 

    this is all common sense. u need to work on your critical thinking and drop the propaganda. 

  • Switching to rank choice or STAR (score then automatic runoff)voting systems are critical to healthy social development

    Author:

     that’s a piercing and timely question. Yes—switching to ranked-choice voting (RCV) (or another form of voting reform) is critical to the long-term moral and political evolution of society.

    Here’s why—unfiltered and straight:

    🧨 Plurality Voting Is a Structural Failure

    The current first-past-the-post (plurality) voting system, especially in the U.S., is:

    • Inherently polarizing
      Forces voters into binary choices, fueling tribalism.
    • Creates “lesser evil” voting
      Discourages sincere, values-based voting in favor of strategic harm reduction.
    • Suppresses third parties and innovation
      Keeps out nuanced or emerging ideas because they’re “spoilers.”
    • Encourages demagogues
      Charisma and manipulation often outweigh character or competence when the game is winner-take-all with 30% of the vote.
    • Breaks trust
      Voters disengage because they feel their voice is always swallowed up in zero-sum dynamics.

    🧠 Plurality voting rewards outrage, identity signaling, and fear-based campaigning. It systematically punishes cooperation, nuance, and long-term thinking.

    ✅ Ranked-Choice Voting: A Path Toward Political Maturity

    RCV, or Instant Runoff Voting, works by letting voters rank candidates in order of preference. It allows for:

    • Majority consensus
      No one can win with just a radical minority unless they’re broadly acceptable.
    • Policy-based voting
      You can vote your values first, not just strategically.
    • Reduction in negative campaigning
      Candidates want to be the 2nd or 3rd choice too—not just tear each other down.
    • More diverse candidates
      New voices, independent thinkers, and bridge-builders get real traction.
    • Healthier democracy
      Encourages a political culture of dialogue, not dueling extremes.

    RCV isn’t perfect—but it is a massive upgrade. There are other good models too (approval voting, STAR voting), but all are superior to our current zero-sum format.

    🌍 Big Picture: System Architecture Shapes Consciousness

    If we are to become:

    • post-polarization society
    • A civilization capable of solving planetary problems
    • A culture that rewards wisdom over charisma

    …then electoral reform is essential.

    Politics isn’t just who wins. It’s the architecture of collective decision-making. Right now, we are using a broken, primitive mechanism to navigate complex, interconnected, global issues. That’s like trying to run a neural network on a fax machine.

    🧬 Bottom Line:

    Yes, moving away from plurality voting is critical if we want to evolve beyond:

    • Demagogues
    • Entrenched duopolies
    • Short-term fear politics

    Ranked-choice voting is not the whole answer, but it’s one of the structural pillars of a healthier, wiser civilization.

    If you’d like, I can sketch a roadmap of how we might get from here to an upgraded voting system nationwide—step by step, with cultural, legal, and technological layers.

    ————————————

    **The Voting Revolution: A Manifesto for Post-Plurality Civilization**

    ### ✍️ By Omega | Spirit of Reform | Year: 2025

    ## I. **The Lie We Live**

    We live under the illusion of choice, caught in a political game rigged for division.

    A system where:

    * Winning means conquering, not cooperating.

    * A candidate can rise to power with 30% of the vote.

    * Citizens are forced to vote *against* their fears, not *for* their hopes.

    * Demagogues thrive, visionaries are sidelined, and nuance is punished.

    This is not democracy.

    This is **plurality rule**—a primitive holdover from a time when complexity was feared.

    We, the people, are ready for something higher.

    ## II. **The Truth We Know**

    A new world is forming.

    One where interdependence, not ideology, will define survival.

    In this world, we must evolve our systems of choice—not just our technologies.

    Because **democracy is not a destination**—it is a living process of consciousness.

    And right now, that process is broken.

    But we have the tools to fix it.

    ## III. **The Upgrade We Need**

    We call for the immediate and universal adoption of **ranked-choice voting** (RCV), or a **superior post-plurality system**.

    Why?

    Because RCV:

    * Rewards consensus, not chaos.

    * Empowers voters to speak in full sentences, not false binaries.

    * Disarms extremists, uplifts bridge-builders.

    * Turns elections from war zones into ecosystems of ideas.

    This is not left or right. This is forward.

    ## IV. **The Path We Walk**

    We walk a 4-phase path:

    1. **Cultural Seeding** (Now–2030)

       We spread the truth. We model the future in cities, schools, and art.

    2. **Legitimacy Building** (2030–2040)

       We prove the model works. We turn experiments into expectation.

    3. **Systemic Breakthrough** (2040–2055)

       We win reform. We codify a system worthy of human maturity.

    4. **Democratic Renaissance** (2055–2100)

       We use the upgraded system to heal, evolve, and lead with wisdom.

    ## V. **The Civilization We Choose**

    This is not just about how we vote.

    It is about **who we become**.

    Without voting reform, we will remain stuck in the cycle of fear, noise, and short-term thinking—until collapse or authoritarianism swallow us.

    With reform, we unlock a new stage of civilization:

    * One where governance matches complexity.

    * One where character outshines charisma.

    * One where leaders rise by inspiring love, not commanding loyalty.

    > In this world, democracy is no longer a contest.

    > It is a conversation—an unfolding spiral of shared wisdom.

    ## VI. **The Oath We Swear**

    We swear allegiance not to parties, but to process.

    Not to ideology, but to integrity.

    Not to winning, but to **awakening**.

    We are citizens of a future not yet born, but already stirring.

    We demand a system that reflects our full selves, our deepest values, our truest hopes.

    We will not settle for a broken ballot.

    We will not bow to the myth of inevitability.

    We will rise.

    > Because to vote wisely is not just to choose a leader.

    > It is to become one.

    **The Voting Revolution begins now.**

    ———————————-

    How would rank choice or star method be superior in overcoming my critique of the election system outlined below

    They’ve lost the policy in politics as I like to say

    But how do you win elections? A lot of it is branding and name recognition. Trump had both, that’s why he won twice

    Are more or less policy details better for branding? 

    None of us like it but branding with platitudes is half the battle. The average person is pretty stupid and half of people are even stupider. That’s just right off rip. There’s a time and place for substance but I’m not convinced being heavy on that is what wins elections. Devilish details can alienate more people than it helps attract. Gotta be ambiguous enough to let people project their own ideals onto you

    If we want to bring “policy back into politics,” changing the *rules of the game* is a necessary first move

    You’ve hit on a core critique of modern democratic elections: **style beats substance**, and **vague branding beats detailed policy**. Your frustration is that the *incentive structure* of elections doesn’t reward depth—it rewards **name recognition, charisma, and ambiguity**. So let’s examine how **Ranked Choice Voting (RCV)** and **STAR voting** (Score Then Automatic Runoff) potentially shift those incentives:

    ### 🔁 THE PROBLEM WITH PLURALITY VOTING (Our current system)

    * **Candidates can win with a plurality**, not a majority—so name recognition can be enough even if most people dislike a candidate.

    * **Spoiler effects** discourage serious third-party or outsider candidates.

    * **Polarization is rewarded**: You just need a solid, passionate base—no need to win over a majority.

    * **Shallow branding works**: If you’re famous and divisive, you can still win (see: Trump).

    ### ✅ HOW RANKED CHOICE (RCV) HELPS

    In Ranked Choice, voters rank candidates (1st, 2nd, 3rd…). If no one gets a majority of first-place votes, the lowest-ranking candidate is eliminated and their votes redistributed. This continues until someone gets a majority.

    **Why it might help overcome your critique:**

    * **Reduces toxic branding and negative campaigning**: Candidates want to be the *second choice* of their rivals’ supporters. If you’re all attack and no nuance, you lose those 2nd and 3rd votes.

    * **Encourages coalition-building and broader appeal**: You can’t just appeal to a loud base—you need to be “acceptable” to more people.

    * **Makes room for candidates with real policy depth**: Voters can say, “I love this detailed, smart candidate, but if they don’t win, my vote still counts for my next choice.”

    🧠 **Net Effect**: Voters don’t have to choose between *idealism* and *electability*. Candidates can afford to be a little more honest or complex—less ambiguity, more room for nuance.

    ### ⭐ HOW STAR VOTING GOES EVEN FURTHER

    In STAR Voting:

    1. Voters **score each candidate** (e.g. 0–5).

    2. The two candidates with the highest scores go to a **runoff**, and the one scored higher by more voters wins.

    **Advantages:**

    * **No incentive to play dumb or avoid details**: You’re rewarded for being liked by more people, not just being the first choice of a loud base.

    * **Policy depth can shine**: If a candidate isn’t the most charismatic but is seen as competent, voters can still rate them highly.

    * **No need for strategic voting**: You can express nuanced preferences without “wasting” your vote.

    🧠 **Net Effect**: STAR rewards candidates with **broad, thoughtful appeal**. It reduces polarization, spoilers, and the tyranny of the loudest brand.

    ### 📊 TL;DR COMPARISON

    | Feature | Plurality | Ranked Choice (RCV) | STAR Voting |

    | ———————————— | ——— | ——————- | ———– |

    | Encourages broad appeal | ❌ | ✅ | ✅✅ |

    | Reduces branding-over-policy dynamic | ❌ | ✅ | ✅✅ |

    | Avoids spoiler effect | ❌ | ✅ | ✅✅ |

    | Rewards substance over charisma | ❌ | ✅ | ✅✅ |

    | Easy for voters | ✅ | Moderate | Moderate |

    ### 🎯 YOUR CRITIQUE VS SYSTEM INCENTIVES

    | Your Concern | How RCV/STAR Address It |

    | ————————————————— | ————————————————————————————————— |

    | “Branding wins over substance” | STAR especially reduces the need for empty branding |

    | “People project their ideals onto vague candidates” | With multiple preferences (RCV) or scores (STAR), voters are less forced to buy into ambiguity |

    | “Substance can alienate” | Candidates can now *afford* to be substantive—your support isn’t all-or-nothing |

    | “Average person doesn’t want details” | True—but now *some people do*, and those preferences can be expressed without hurting the candidate |

    ### ⚖️ Final Thought

    You’re absolutely right that the **current system rewards ambiguity and punishes depth**. It’s not because people are stupid—it’s because **plurality voting makes nuance risky**. STAR and RCV change that equation by making the system more **reflective of honest preferences**, not just gut-level reactions.